When playing a calibration game like the spinner, what does choosing one's provided range instead of spinning indicate?

Choosing a provided range instead of spinning in a calibration game indicates a high level of confidence in the accuracy of that range. In this context, opting for the range suggests that the individual believes the true value lies within it with a high certainty—typically interpreted as greater than 90% confidence.

The rationale behind this choice is that when a player decides to rely on the range they have, they are making a strong assumption that the range is not only accurate but also reliable, reflecting a strong degree of trust in their own judgment or the information they have received. Such confidence implies that the player feels certain enough that generating a random outcome (by spinning) is unnecessary and potentially less favorable than sticking to their informed estimate.

This understanding is consistent with the principles of decision-making under uncertainty, where individuals who are very confident may opt for known quantities instead of engaging in riskier or more uncertain alternatives.